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20073분기까지의 총 광고비 대비, 2008년 동기간 광고비 성장률은 -1.7%

 

전반적으로 매체비 성장률은 둔화 & 역신장인 반면, 인터넷 매체의 성장은 지속세

 

(Period : 2007. 1~9vs. 2008.1~9)

TV 매체 (네트워크TV, CATV ) : 2.1%
잡지 매체 (일반지, 전문지, 주간지 등) : -3.9%
신문 매체 (지역신문, 전국신문 등) : -4.9%

인터넷 매체 : 7.0%

라디오 매체 (지역방송, 전국방송, 네트워크 방송) : -8.8%

옥외 매체 (-0.5%)

Total : -1.7%

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Total measured advertising expenditures in the first nine months of 2008 declined 1.7% as compared with the same period in 2007, and ad spend during Q3 was down 2.0% vs. last year,
according to data released today by TNS Media Intelligence.

Ad Spending by Media


 

For the nine month period, internet display advertising expenditures increased 7.0% as marketers continued to expand their online investments. However, growth rates have been shrinking for five consecutive quarters.

The Summer Olympics boosted third-quarter network TV ad spending and turned a six-month loss into a nine month gain with year-to-date expenditures up 3.0%. Cable TV (+3.7%) was aided by limited exposure to the early-year TV writer’s strike
and successful summer programming. Syndication TV (+9.0%) benefitted from more hours of programming.

Consumer magazine ad spending was down 3.8% with the reduction broadly distributed across a number of key categories, including apparel, direct response and pharmaceutical, TNS said.

Local media expenditures continue to deteriorate in the wake of cutbacks from automotive, retail and telecom advertisers. Spot TV fell 2.6% despite record-setting levels of political spending. Expenditures plunged by 10.0% in newspaper media and by 8.8% in radio media. Outdoor advertising, after six years of uninterrupted growth, fell into the red during Q3 and finished the nine-month period with a loss of 0.5%

Overall, local media ad spending was down 6.7% through September, while national media eked out a small increase of 0.9%.

“Media ad spending, which began tiptoeing into negative territory in early 2007, has crossed an inflection point in the past six months as the economic downturn has become more widespread,” said Jon Swallen, SVP, research at TNS Media Intelligence. “Preliminary data from the fourth quarter indicate a further slackening of the overall advertising market. Consumer spending levels, which drive the corporate profits that in turn fund marketing budgets, remain a serious concern and will have a strong influence on the depth and duration of the current difficulties facing advertising.”

Ad Spending by Advertiser

The top 10 advertisers in the first nine months of 2008 spent a combined total of $12,834.6 million, a 0.2% decrease from last year.

 

Across the top 50 companies, a more diversified group of marketers representing nearly one-third of total ad expenditures, spending fell by 2.1%.

Procter & Gamble held its position as the largest advertiser with $2,291.4 million in expenditures for the January-September period, a 5.9% decline versus a year ago.

Verizon Communications continues to escalate marketing supporting for its wireless division, causing a 12.8% increase in total ad spending, to $1,713.8 million. By comparison, rival AT&T reduced its outlays 13.7%, to $1,453.2 million, the biggest drop among the top 10 companies.

General Motors remains the lone automotive representative on the top-10 list (Toyota and Ford ranked #11 and #12, respectively). In the face of dismal industry sales and its own eroding market share, GM aggressively hiked ad spending by 15.7%, to $1,590.4 million, and concurrently reallocated budgets away from light trucks,  toward passenger cars.

Strong increases were also registered by General Electric (+12.8% to $894.0 million) and News Corp (+10.4% to $1,061.5 million) while Time Warner (-10.5%, to $1,097.1 million) and Walt Disney (-6.4%, to $887.7 million) had sizable reductions. Results for each of these companies were primarily shaped by their movie studio divisions, TNS said.

Ad Spending by Category

The top 10 advertising categories in January-September 2008 spent a total of $54,222.2 million, down 1.0% from a year ago, TNS stated.

 

Automotive was the top-spending category at $9,626.7 million, a drop of 12.7%, which is proportionately in line with the drop in new vehicle sales. Spending cutbacks were more severe for the domestic segment than imports. Automotive expenditures have now declined for 13 consecutive quarters.

Financial services advertising rebounded modestly in Q3 after a lackluster first half and the category finished the nine-month period at $6,765.2 million, up 0.8%. During Q3, advertising for investment products picked up and retail bank spending was flat as these marketers grappled with consumer’s growing concerns about shrinking portfolios and the safety of their deposits. Loan advertising was down sharply.

Among the leading categories, the largest percentage gain was posted by restaurants, up 6.1% to $4,278.6 million, as quick-service eateries battled to maintain store traffic and market share amidst a progressive slowdown in consumer spending.

Food and candy (+6.0% to $4,632.0 million) and local services & amusements (+2.3% to $6.274.3 million) also lifted their spending.

Telecommunications expenditures fell 5.2% to $6,296.6 million, primarily because of $600+ million in cutbacks by AT&T and Sprint Nextel. Miscellaneous retail, which includes all retail segments except department stores and home furnishings/appliance stores, was down 4.8% to $5,949.7 million.

“By most accounts, the current economic recession will be deep and lengthy and with it will come continuing challenges for the advertising and media industries,” said Dean DeBiase, CEO of TNS Media. “Undoubtedly, these industries will have to make some hard decisions in the coming months, decisions that perhaps had been deferred during periods of growth. But ultimately, this period can be viewed as an opportunity to effect such changes, leading to a leaner and more effective industry in the years ahead.”

Branded Entertainment

In Q3 2008, an average hour of monitored prime-time network programming - in minutes and seconds - contained exactly 9 minutes (9:00) of in-show brand appearances, a nine percent increase from a year ago. In addition, there were 13:41 per hour of network commercial messages. The combined total of 22:41 of marketing content represents 38% of a prime-time hour.

Unscripted reality programming had an average of 10:12 per hour of brand appearances compared with just 6:10 per hour for scripted programs such as sitcoms and dramas. Late-night network talk shows averaged 15:15 per hour. The combined load of brand appearances and network ad messages in these shows was 30:28 per hour, or 51% of total programming time.

 

Among all monitored network programming in Q3, America’s Toughest Jobs had the highest average volume of brand-appearance time, at 46:31 per hour. Rounding out the top five were Knight Rider (40:01); CSI: Miami (31:29); Biggest Loser: Families (29:27); and Amazing Race (28:22).

About the research: In addition to monitoring ad expenditures in all major media, TNS Media Intelligence continuously monitors branded entertainment within network prime time and late night programming. The tracking identifies brand appearances and measures their duration and attributes.


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 2008년 인터넷 업계 뿐만아니라, 전세계적으로 첫번째 손꼽히는 화두가 바로 경제위기일 것이다. 이러한 경제위기는 고스란히 내년으로 이어질 전망으로 마케팅, 비즈니스 분야에서는 2009년 최악의 경제 불황에 대한 발빠른 대응방안을 모색 중에 있다. 

 불투명한 경제 상황에 놓인 2009년. 인터넷 마케팅 분야에는 어떠한 트렌드가 새롭게 부각되고 자리잡게 될런지 조심스럽게 전망해 본다.

 1. 개방(Openness)의 활성화

   지난 몇년간 숱하게 회자되어 왔던 web2.0의 개념인 참여, 개방, 공유. 이들 중, 2009년은 단연 '개방'의 한해가 되리라 전망해본다. 
 인터넷 포탈을 비롯 시장 전반적으로, 대폭적인 순수 방문자의 증대를 기대할 수 없는 상황에서 보다 나은 수익을 창출하기 위해서는 기존의 방문자를 최대한 활용하는 방향으로 사업모델을 확장시킬 수 밖에 없다.
  그 중 대표적인 사례가 Naver가 표방하는 'Opencast'로서, 편집권을 유저에게 개방한다는 개념으로 '개방'을 전면에 내세우고 있다. 하지만, 그 근본적인 내막에는 기존 플랫폼 환경 하에서는 순수 유저의 확장 없이는, 보다 효율적인 비즈니스 구조를 가지고 갈 수 없기 때문이다. 'Opencast'는 유저에게 적합한 컨텐츠를 제공해 주는 대신, 그 이외의 정보에 대해서는 모두 검색을 통해 얻어갈 수 있게끔 의도되어 있다. 이는 기존의 순방문자를 재활용하여 검색 쿼리를 증대시킴으로써, 검색을 통해 발생되는 수익을 높이고자 하는 기본 의도가 내포되어 있는 것이다. 

                                            [Naver 'Opencast']

  시장의 한계를 극복하는 다른 방면으로, 외부를 통해서 유저와의 관계 접점을 증대하기 위한 '개방'의 방식이 있다. 그 '개방'의 물결 속에 위젯, Open API 등이 선두에 위치하고 있다. 이러한 개방 플랫폼은 내부 채널을 통한 유저의 유입 보다는 외부를 통한 유입을 높이고자 하는 목적이 기저에 깔려 있는 것이다. 이러한 마케팅 추세는 아마도 경제불황인 2009년에 급속도로 확장될 가능성이 높을 것으로 조심스럽게 예측해본다. 

                                                 [Daum 위젯뱅크]

                                           [Daum MAPS API]

2. 마케팅 & 서비스 플랫폼 연계

  Web의 개방을 통해, 서비스와 마케팅 플랫폼의 융합 및 연계가 활발해질 전망이다. 사업 비용의 절감과 제휴업체 상호의 이익적인 부분을 충족시키는 채널 확보를 통해 시장의 주도권을 확보하려는 움직임이 활발해 질 것으로 예견된다.
  실례로 얼마전 다음과 야후코리아 측의 CPM검색광고 제휴 역시, 마케팅플랫폼 제휴를 통한 비즈니스 연계가 대표적이라 할 수 있겠다. 

                         [Daum & Yahoo korea, CPM검색광고 제휴]

 한걸음 더 나아가 컨텐츠 서비스를 호환하는 방식의 스와핑 연계 방안도 고려될 것으로 보인다.

3. 광고 시장 성장 둔화와 대체 마케팅 활성화

 2009 광고 마케팅 예산의 대폭적인 삭감이 예견되는 바, 저예산 고효율 마케팅 방안이 주를 이룰 것으로 보인다. 이는 전체 광고시장 전반에 영향을 미치게 되어, 검색광고와 DA로 대변되는 인터넷 광고시장도 성장세가 위축될 것으로 예견된다.
 이를 대체하기 위해 기업블로그 및 파워블로거를 활용한 마케팅 방식이 폭넓게 진행될 것으로 보이며, 인터넷 PR의 역할이 증대가 되는 한해가 될 것으로 전망된다. 또한 그동안 몇몇 광고주들의 마케팅 방식으로 차용되었던 Viral 마케팅 또한 Mass 유저가 아닌 특정유저층을 대상으로 부분적으로 성행할 가능성이 높다. 

 이외에도 모바일 시장의 변혁이 예상되는 바, 해외 저가 모바일 어플리케이션의 보급과 모바일웹 풀브라우징 서비스의 증대에 힘입어 새로운 마케팅 환경이 조성되는 근간의 한해가 될 것으로 점쳐진다. 
 모두가 예상하는 바대로 힘겨운 2009년을 맞이하게 되는 현 시점에서 어느 시점에, 얼마나, 무엇에 집중하느냐에 따라 인터넷 마케팅의 성패가 어느때 보다 크게 좌우될 것으로  전망된다.
AND
구구절절한 설명이 필요없다. 어리지만 배울 점이 많은 친구..



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